Want to influence a board member before an important
meeting? Make sure you are on their Christmas card list first and then sidle up
to them over the water cooler and suggest a particular view about an issue. If
they like you, respect you or you have some sort of power, then whatever
information they have on the matter will be pushed aside, manipulated by your
opinion. And this can be quite an unconscious thing on both sides, unless you
are awake to this sort of phenomenon.
So, we are more likely to believe what someone whom we
admire or has some influence over us says, rather than be swayed by the facts.
Conversely, we are less likely to be convinced by someone whom we dislike. Such
is the importance of the power to influence. Sadly, humans can be influenced by
all sorts of people who have no genuine right to have influence, such as media
personalities, movie and TV stars, and sports figures, for example. Their
opinion can be very attractive to us and don’t let the mere detail of facts get
in the way. The various media formats understand this very well, especially
glossy magazines, as do advertising agencies as they manipulate the public
taste, public fashion, and ultimately what we buy.
Gossip, these days, has taken on new forms. Its essence is
the same but now it can be found on every type of social media that’s out there
such as Twitter, Facebook, Linkedin, Pinterest, Google Plus, Timbir, Flickr,
MySpace to name but a few.
Over the silly season break I had several instances of
gossip at work in social medie and I have no doubt you have seen this happening
too. What I saw were allegations about fairly well known figures and events
circulated through social media going viral. People would get really hot under
the collar and rant about the person or event, poor out their vitriol and pass
it on to the next person to do the same.
However, a little bit of research discovered in each case
that the allegation was false. Several of them came from online satirical
magazines. Someone clearly didn’t get the satire and sent it out on their
network with a nasty comment. Because they probably have some influence over
their ‘followers’ or ‘friends’ no-one else bothers to check the facts. And away
we go, gossip on a grand and global scale. A far greater reach than Mr Brown,
the town gossip: an amateur by comparison.
What is worrying is the amount of information, not just
gossip, that is circulated via the internet, that has no basis in evidence but
we listen to, simply because it came from someone with influence. How many
decisions do we make that ignore the science but go with misinformed opinion? But
how serious can this be? In my view this can be very serious for all manner of
leaders, no matter what enterprise they happen to be in. For example, if I hear one more person say
that they don’t believe in climate
change or I don’t believe smoking
causes cancer I shall throw a very big tantrum.
It’s also true that you can look at some information or an
argument that appears on the face of it to be very compelling and based in
science but that needs to be treated with caution. This issue came up with a
colleague only this week who was interested in a piece of ground breaking
research-good research as it turns out. But science is a naturally cautious
activity. What I said to him was that without a good grasp of statistics it is
possible to think that a piece of research one is reading can be taken as
gospel, when in fact its findings need to be taken much more cautiously. In
fact, one often finds that a blogger, journalist or other writer takes the
findings of research and inflates them beyond what the researcher every
intended. Not dishonestly, but just not understanding some research basics.
So, some important lessons here about decision and opinion
making. First, always go to the science or at least someone who knows the
science well and make decisions based on facts. Second, recognise the power of
influence and how to use it wisely. Third, recognise when you are being
manipulated and how others are influencing you. Fourth, embrace the principles
of participative democracy when making important decision-making. No matter how
high your IQ is, more informed people make it higher. Lastly, recognise human
frailty, that we are not as smart as we think we are.
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